Sport Picks
Erbil vs Al Gharraf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
27'
27'
Hzair A.
Assist: Bayesh I.
50'
50'
Olberkis S.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Stars League game between Erbil and Al Gharraf finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Gharraf haven't matched Erbil's recent run of results.
- 31% — that's where the model lands on Erbil taking it.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Erbil Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erbil | Al Gharraf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Gharraf
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Erbil
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Gharraf
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erbil Compare
Top Goalscorer Hzair A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Al Gharraf Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erbil 95 / 100
Al Gharraf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erbil Al Gharraf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erbil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erbil scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Al Gharraf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.67 goals.
Erbil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Erbil VS Al Gharraf
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Erbil
(Home) 08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
04 Nov
Erbil
6 : 0 Kazma SC
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
28 Oct
Erbil
3 : 0 Al Ettifaq FC
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1 Erbil
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
04 Nov
Erbil
6 : 0 Kazma SC
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1 Ghaz Al Shamal
28 Oct
Erbil
3 : 0 Al Ettifaq FC
18 Oct
Erbil
0 : 1 Al Mosul
Page 1 of 4
Al Gharraf
(Away) 08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
22 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0 Al Naft
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
09 Oct
Al Gharraf
0 : 0 Al Golan
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Gharraf
31 Oct
Al Karkh
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
16 Oct
Karbala
1 : 2 Al Gharraf
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0 Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Newroz | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 18:5 | 26 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 15:7 | 24 |
| 5 | Al Golan | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 7 | Erbil | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 8 | Duhok | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Minaa | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:18 | 16 |
| 12 | Diyala | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | 14 |
| 14 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Zakho | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 16 | Al Karkh | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 19 | Naft Missan | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Karbala | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
