Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Erbil host Al Mosul in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Erbil at 1.7 goals for, 0.67 against; Al Mosul at 1.3 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Erbil have won 2 to Al Mosul's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Erbil to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Erbil have won more games recently than Al Mosul.
- Erbil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erbil | Al Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Erbil scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Al Mosul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Erbil stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Erbil
(Home)Al Mosul
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
