Sport Picks
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
47'
47'
Miullen
90'
90'
Okpotu A.
Assist: Andrade T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Erbil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya haven't matched Erbil's recent run of results.
- Model gives Erbil a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Erbil Clean Sheet 68%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erbil | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0
Jun 19, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Erbil
1:2
Feb 4, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erbil Compare
Top Goalscorer Miullen
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Okpotu A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erbil 68 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erbil Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Erbil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erbil scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Erbil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Erbil VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erbil
(Home) 08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1 Erbil
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3 Erbil
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0 Diyala
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Erbil
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0 Diyala
31 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Minaa
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Aug
Erbil
2 : 0 Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 5 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 16 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
