Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026

Erciyes 38

1 - 0

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Akcakin A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Erciyes 38

39%

Draws

31%

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977).
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Erciyes 38	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	14	8
Draws	10	10
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 2

Erciyes 38 vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 2

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Erciyes 38

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akcakin A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 41 / 100

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Erciyes 38 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erciyes 38 scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Erciyes 38 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

1.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	12 Bingol Spor	30	17	9	4	60:28	60
2	Erciyes 38	30	13	10	7	42:31	49
3	Silifke	30	12	12	6	41:26	48
4	Malatya	30	13	8	9	45:35	47
5	Mazidagi	30	12	11	7	32:24	47
6	Agri 1970	30	12	9	9	57:33	45
7	Karakopru	30	12	8	10	38:42	44
8	Osmaniyespor	30	12	6	12	42:40	42
9	Nigde	30	11	8	11	44:36	41
10	Kirikkale FK	30	11	7	12	39:51	40
11	Kirsehir SK	30	7	13	10	37:38	34
12	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	30	8	10	12	33:42	34
13	Kahramanmarasspor	30	7	11	12	35:48	32
14	Kilis Bld.	30	8	6	16	25:53	30
15	Suvermez Kapadokyaspor	30	5	13	12	29:47	28
16	Turk Metal 1963	30	4	11	15	30:55	20