Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erciyes 38 vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Akcakin A.

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Erciyes 38
35%
Draws
25%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erciyes 38 lately — more wins on the board than Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977).
  • Win probability leans Erciyes 38's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Erciyes 38 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Erciyes 38
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Erciyes 38
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akcakin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 77 / 100
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erciyes 38's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Erciyes 38 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
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Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

(Away)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
06 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 1
Malatya
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kilis Bld.
0 : 4
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)