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AI Match Summary
Malatya in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Erciyes 38 haven't matched Malatya's recent run of results.
- Model gives Malatya a 46% chance of winning this.
- Malatya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Malatya, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erciyes 38 | Malatya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Erciyes 38 Compare
Malatya Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Erciyes 38's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Malatya conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Erciyes 38 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.