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Erciyes 38 vs Tepecik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bodur O.
13' Event
Kanarya T.
61' Event
Balci E.

AI Match Summary

Erciyes 38 in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Erciyes 38
20%
Draws
6%
Tepecik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 have won more games recently than Tepecik.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Tepecik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.61 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Erciyes 38 vs Tepecik
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Tepecik vs Erciyes 38
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Balci E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kanarya T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tepecik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodur O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 95 / 100
Tepecik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Tepecik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tepecik conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Erciyes 38 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Erciyes 38's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 7

Tepecik

(Away)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)