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Erciyes 38 vs Turk Metal 1963

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Balci E.
48' Event
Yasak C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Erciyes 38 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Erciyes 38
15%
Draws
20%
Turk Metal 1963
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Erciyes 38 taking it.
  • Erciyes 38 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Erciyes 38, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Erciyes 38 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 20%
Turk Metal 1963 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erciyes 38 Turk Metal 1963
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.44 1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Turk Metal 1963 vs Erciyes 38
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Turk Metal 1963
2:1
Sep 4, 2025 Turkish Cup
Erciyes 38 vs Turk Metal 1963
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Balci E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yasak C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Turk Metal 1963 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erciyes 38 85 / 100
Turk Metal 1963 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erciyes 38 Turk Metal 1963

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turk Metal 1963 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Erciyes 38 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Erciyes 38 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erciyes 38 VS Turk Metal 1963
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erciyes 38

(Home)
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
Page 1 of 7

Turk Metal 1963

(Away)
18 Apr
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Turk Metal 1963
12 Apr
Turk Metal 1963
0 : 5
Kirsehir SK
05 Apr
12 Bingol Spor
4 : 0
Turk Metal 1963
29 Mar
Turk Metal 1963
1 : 2
Kirikkale FK
24 Mar
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor
1 : 3
Turk Metal 1963
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru 7
Hakkari Zap 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Bitlis 1916 3
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Rizespor -
Duzcespor -
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Pendikspor -
Corluspor -
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Ayvalikgucu -
Silifke -
TBD -
K. Istklalspor 2
Kilis Bld. 1
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Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
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Etimesgut 0
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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Kastamonuspor -
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Yozgat 1
Fatsa Bld. 2
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Vanspor FK -
Bucaspor 1928 0
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Isparta 32 Spor 4
Kirsehir SK 0
Silivrispor -
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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 3
Adanaspor AS 0
Kurtalanspor 1
Sanliurfaspor 4
Kestel Cilekspor 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Fethiyespor 2
Soke 1970 0
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 8
Sirnak 0
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Mazidagi -
Menemenspor -
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Bartinspor 1
Eskisehir Anadolu 3
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor -
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12 Bingol Spor 3
Mardin 1969 0
Arnavutkoy Bl. 2
Beykoz Ishakli Spor 3
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Karacabey Bld. -
Malatya 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
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Adana 01 -
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Kocaelispor -
Kirklarelispor 1
Galata Spor Kulubu 2
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Beykoz Anadolu -
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gemlikspor 0
Gaziantep -
TBD -
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Ankaragucu 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3
Guzide Gebzespor 6
Bulvarspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 0
24Erzincanspor 1
Bulancakspor 2
Hopaspor 1
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Igdir FK -
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Orduspor 1967 -
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Erbaaspor 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1
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Pazarspor -
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece -
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Inegolspor 2
Ezinespor 0
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Giresunspor 7
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52 Orduspor -
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Iskenderunspor 1
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Adanademirspor -
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
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Agri 1970 -
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Batman Petrolspor -
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Edirnespor Genclik 0
Soma Spor 3
1926 Polatli Belediye 1
Cankaya FK 2
Amasyaspor -
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Trabzon FK 4
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Osmaniyespor 0
Karaman FK 2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
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Kutahyaspor -
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Altinordu -
Karsiyaka -
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Bursa Yildirimspor 2
Altay 0
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Alanyaspor -
Bucak Belediyesi 1
Kepez Bld. 2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2
Nazillispor 0
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Cayeli SK 1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2
Bornova 1877 3
Afyonspor 0
Aliaga 2
Inegol Kafkas 1
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Serik Spor -
Hatayspor -
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Erciyes 38 2
Turk Metal 1963 0
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Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
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Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0
Nigde 2
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Aksaray Bld. -
Kirikkale FK -
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Manisa FK -
Ankaraspor 1
Eskisehirspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Muglaspor 3
1074 Cankirispor 0
Ankara Demirspor 3
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Zonguldak Komurspor -
Tire 2021 FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Quarter-finals
Karakopru 2
Bitlis 1916 1
TBD -
Rizespor -
Duzcespor 3
Pendikspor 4
Corluspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Silifke 7
K. Istklalspor 1
TBD -
Amedspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Karadeniz Eregli 1
Bursaspor 2
Trabzonspor -
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Kastamonuspor 3
Fatsa Bld. 4
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Vanspor FK -
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Isparta 32 Spor 3
Silivrispor 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
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Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Kestel Cilekspor 0
Fethiyespor 1
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Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 5
Mazidagi 0
Menemenspor 2
Eskisehir Anadolu 1
Konyaspor -
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Elazigspor 2
12 Bingol Spor 3
Beykoz Ishakli Spor 0
Karacabey Bld. 2
Malatya 3
Adana 01 2
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Kocaelispor -
Galata Spor Kulubu 1
Beykoz Anadolu 5
Balikesirspor 1
Yesil Yalova FK 2
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1
Guzide Gebzespor 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Bulancakspor 2
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Igdir FK -
Orduspor 1967 -
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Erbaaspor 2
Pazarspor 0
Sakaryaspor -
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Kucukcekmece 1
Inegolspor 3
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Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
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Giresunspor 1
52 Orduspor 2
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Sariyer -
Boluspor -
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Kahta 2
Adanademirspor 1
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Kasimpasa -
Erokspor -
TBD -
Agri 1970 4
Batman Petrolspor 1
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F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
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Soma Spor 1
Cankaya FK 3
Amasyaspor 0
Trabzon FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Karaman FK 0
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Umraniyespor -
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Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Altinordu 1
Karsiyaka 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Alanyaspor -
Kepez Bld. 1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0
Sivasspor 2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1
Bornova 1877 0
Aliaga 6
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Hatayspor 2
Erciyes 38 3
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Kayserispor -
TBD -
Nigde 3
Aksaray Bld. 1
Kirikkale FK 0
Manisa FK 2
Eskisehirspor 0
Muglaspor 3
Ankara Demirspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 3
Tire 2021 FK 0
Bodrumspor 1
Semi-finals
Karakopru 0
Rizespor 3
Pendikspor 3
Corluspor 2
Silifke 3
Amedspor 0
Antalyaspor 3
Bursaspor 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 3
Vanspor FK 4
Isparta 32 Spor 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
TBD -
Goztepe -
Dersim Spor 0
Fethiyespor 3
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Musspor 1
Menemenspor 0
Konyaspor 4
12 Bingol Spor 2
Karacabey Bld. 3
Malatya 1
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
Beykoz Anadolu 1
Yesil Yalova FK 3
Gaziantep 2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bulancakspor 1
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 4
Erbaaspor 2
Sakaryaspor 4
Inegolspor 0
TBD -
Genclerbirligi -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
52 Orduspor 0
Sariyer 2
Boluspor -
TBD -
Kahta 3
Kasimpasa 1
Erokspor 3
Agri 1970 0
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 2
Trabzon FK 0
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Umraniyespor 0
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
Corum FK 3
Kutahyaspor 0
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
Alanyaspor 2
Kepez Bld. 1
Sivasspor 3
Aliaga 4
Serik Spor 3
Erciyes 38 2
Keciorengucu 5
Kayserispor 1
Nigde 0
Manisa FK 0
Muglaspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Bodrumspor 5
Final
Rizespor 6
Pendikspor 1
Silifke 0
Antalyaspor 1
Trabzonspor 2
Vanspor FK 0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1
Goztepe 0
Fethiyespor 4
Bandirmaspor 1
Musspor 1
Konyaspor 4
Karacabey Bld. 1
Kocaelispor 2
Yesil Yalova FK 0
Gaziantep 2
Igdir FK 3
Orduspor 1967 2
Sakaryaspor 0
Genclerbirligi 5
Istanbulspor AS 6
Sariyer 0
Boluspor 2
Kahta 1
Erokspor 2
F. Karagumruk 5
Eyupspor 6
Cankaya FK 1
Kahramanmarasspor 1
Erzurumspor FK 3
Corum FK 0
Alanyaspor 5
Sivasspor 1
Aliaga 3
Keciorengucu 2
Kayserispor 0
Muglaspor 1
Bodrumspor 2