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Erdi vs Dombovari

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Erdi Logo

Erdi

2 - 0
FT
Dombovari Logo

Dombovari

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Karasz K.
48' Event
Pinter N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erdi
15%
Draws
0%
Dombovari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erdi have won more games recently than Dombovari.
  • Erdi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Erdi Clean Sheet 68%
Dombovari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Dombovari
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 27
Goals Scored 1.97 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.61 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.55 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Dombovari
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dombovari vs Erdi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Karasz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinter N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.77

Dombovari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 95 / 100
Dombovari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Dombovari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Dombovari let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Dombovari has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Dombovari
2.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 7

Dombovari

(Away)
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Dombovari
1 : 5
Siofok
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
03 May
Dombovari
0 : 8
Nagykanizsa FC
26 Apr
Ivancsa
3 : 0
Dombovari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)