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Erdi vs Ivancsa

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Farkas B.
51' Event
Farkas B.
64' Event
Vass B. G.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Erdi and Ivancsa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Erdi
15%
Draws
36%
Ivancsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of Ivancsa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Erdi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%
Ivancsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Ivancsa
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.06 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Hungarian Cup
Erdi vs Ivancsa
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ivancsa
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs Erdi
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Erdi vs Ivancsa
2:0
May 5, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Ivancsa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Farkas B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ivancsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vass B. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 83 / 100
Ivancsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Ivancsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ivancsa let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Ivancsa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Ivancsa
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
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Ivancsa

(Away)
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
12 Sept
Ivancsa
0 : 4
Szeged-Csanad GA
05 Sept
Ivancsa
2 : 3
Majosi
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Ivancsa
1 : 3
Dunaharaszti MTK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)