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Erdi vs Kaposvar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Szikora T.
48' Event
Erdesz A.
78' Event
Erdesz A.

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Erdi
20%
Draws
29%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaposvar lately — more wins on the board than Erdi.
  • Erdi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Erdi Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Kaposvar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.9 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Kaposvar
3:1
May 17, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Kaposvar
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Erdi
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Kaposvar vs Erdi
2:3
May 26, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Erdi
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdesz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Szikora T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Szederkeniy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 38 / 100
Kaposvar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Kaposvar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Erdi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Kaposvar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
Page 1 of 6

Kaposvar

(Away)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)