Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erdi vs Paks II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Karasz K.
15' Event
Kuzma H.
Own Goal
30' Event
Farkas B.

AI Match Summary

Erdi in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erdi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Erdi
35%
Draws
12%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erdi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erdi lately — more wins on the board than Paks II.
  • Win probability leans Erdi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Erdi Clean Sheet 12%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erdi Paks II
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Erdi
2:3
Aug 31, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Erdi
0:0
Sep 9, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs Paks II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Karasz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farkas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Debreceni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erdi 65 / 100
Paks II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erdi Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erdi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erdi scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Paks II let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Erdi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Erdi VS Paks II
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Erdi

(Home)
15 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
Erdi
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
25 Jul
Erdi
3 : 3
Budaorsi SC
11 Jul
Bicskei
1 : 3
Erdi
24 May
Majosi
3 : 3
Erdi
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Paks II

(Away)
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
12 Aug
Paks II
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
08 Aug
Erdi
3 : 1
Paks II
26 Jul
Majosi
2 : 2
Paks II
24 May
Szekszardi
3 : 2
Paks II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Kaposvar 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
3 PTE-PEAC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Budafoki MTE 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
5 Budaorsi SC 4 2 1 1 7:11 7
6 MTK Budapest II 4 2 0 2 13:5 6
7 Ivancsa 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
8 Erdi 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
9 Majosi 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
10 Siofok 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
11 Ferencvaros II 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
12 Dunaharaszti MTK 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
13 Paks II 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
14 Sarbogard 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
15 Szekszardi 4 0 0 4 0:16 0
16 Dunaujvaros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)