Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt II vs Aue II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 game between Erfurt II and Aue II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Erfurt II
15%
Draws
34%
Aue II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Erfurt II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 16%
Aue II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Aue II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Aue II
2:1
Sep 28, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Erfurt II
0:2
May 10, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Erfurt II
3:2
Nov 3, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Aue II
1:3
Mar 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Erfurt II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 31 / 100
Aue II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Aue II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erfurt II scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Aue II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Aue II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
Page 1 of 7

Aue II

(Away)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)