Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erfurt II vs Fortuna Chemnitz

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erfurt II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erfurt II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erfurt II
15%
Draws
42%
Fortuna Chemnitz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erfurt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erfurt II lately — more wins on the board than Fortuna Chemnitz.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Erfurt II taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 16%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt II Fortuna Chemnitz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
3:1
Aug 26, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Erfurt II
1:1
Mar 25, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
3:1
Oct 2, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Erfurt II
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt II 41 / 100
Fortuna Chemnitz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt II Fortuna Chemnitz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Erfurt II scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Fortuna Chemnitz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt II VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt II

(Home)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
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Fortuna Chemnitz

(Away)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)