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Erfurt vs Kassel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Felssberg R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Erfurt and Kassel finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erfurt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Erfurt
35%
Draws
20%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erfurt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erfurt come out ahead of Kassel on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Erfurt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Erfurt Clean Sheet 18%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erfurt Kassel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Kassel
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Kassel
1:3
Jan 22, 2022 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Kassel
1:1
Jul 25, 2020 Club Friendly
Erfurt vs Kassel
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erfurt Compare

Top Goalscorer Felssberg R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Kassel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erfurt 85 / 100
Kassel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erfurt Kassel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erfurt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Erfurt scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Kassel has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Erfurt stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erfurt VS Kassel
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erfurt

(Home)
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
15 Sept
Hertha Berlin II
1 : 2
Erfurt
11 Sept
Erfurt
5 : 0
Rsv Eintracht
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
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Kassel

(Away)
03 Oct
Kassel
2 : 2
Ulm
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
11 Sept
Kassel
2 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
08 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
2 : 0
Kassel
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