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Ergene Velimese vs Kirsehir SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Cetin M.
49' Event
Karadas R. C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between Ergene Velimese and Kirsehir SK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ergene Velimese
15%
Draws
42%
Kirsehir SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kirsehir SK come out ahead of Ergene Velimese on wins alone.
  • Kirsehir SK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 20%
Kirsehir SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Kirsehir SK
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.57 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Kirsehir SK
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Kirsehir SK vs Ergene Velimese
0:0
Mar 22, 2020 2. Lig Red Group
Kirsehir SK vs Ergene Velimese
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 2. Lig Red Group
Ergene Velimese vs Kirsehir SK
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cetin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Kirsehir SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Karadas R. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 10 / 100
Kirsehir SK 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Kirsehir SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirsehir SK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kirsehir SK has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Recent resilience: Ergene Velimese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ergene Velimese's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kirsehir SK
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergene Velimese

(Home)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 6

Kirsehir SK

(Away)
07 Oct
Mazidagi
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
03 Oct
Karaman FK
1 : 7
Kirsehir SK
27 Sept
Kirsehir SK
4 : 0
Silifke
20 Sept
Bitlis 1916
3 : 1
Kirsehir SK
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 30 21 7 2 64:17 70
2 Karsiyaka 30 18 6 6 56:28 60
3 Musspor 30 16 10 4 48:24 58
4 Kutahyaspor 30 17 7 6 57:37 58
5 Duzcespor 30 16 8 6 40:27 56
6 Silifke 30 14 7 9 51:36 49
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 26:30 39
9 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 7 10 13 27:32 31
10 Kahramanmarasspor 30 8 6 16 28:39 30
11 Bulvarspor 30 7 9 14 35:58 30
12 Kirsehir SK 30 7 8 15 26:48 29
13 Bornova 1877 30 6 10 14 36:53 28
14 23 Elazig FK 30 5 11 14 18:31 26
15 Kusadasispor 30 7 3 20 25:51 24
16 Ergene Velimese 30 6 5 19 17:50 23
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)