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Ergene Velimese vs Musspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ohawuchi S.
22' Event
Yilmaz H.
64' Event
Ohawuchi S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between Ergene Velimese and Musspor finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ergene Velimese
6%
Draws
90%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musspor come out ahead of Ergene Velimese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Musspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 14%
Musspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Musspor
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Musspor
1:4
Nov 30, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Musspor vs Ergene Velimese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek I. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohawuchi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 10 / 100
Musspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Musspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ergene Velimese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ergene Velimese scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Musspor let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Musspor
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergene Velimese

(Home)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 6

Musspor

(Away)
09 May
Mardin 1969
2 : 1
Musspor
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Musspor
6 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Apr
Fethiyespor
1 : 1
Musspor
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor30217264:1770
2Karsiyaka30186656:2860
3Musspor301610448:2458
4Kutahyaspor30177657:3758
5Duzcespor30168640:2756
6Silifke30147951:3649
7Eskisehir Anadolu30138939:3247
8Hopaspor301091126:3039
9Tokat Bld Plevnespor307101327:3231
10Kahramanmarasspor30861628:3930
11Bulvarspor30791435:5830
12Kirsehir SK30781526:4829
13Bornova 1877306101436:5328
1423 Elazig FK305111418:3126
15Kusadasispor30732025:5124
16Ergene Velimese30651917:5023
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)