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Ergene Velimese vs Musspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ohawuchi S.
22' Event
Yilmaz H.
64' Event
Ohawuchi S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 game between Ergene Velimese and Musspor finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ergene Velimese
15%
Draws
50%
Musspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Musspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musspor come out ahead of Ergene Velimese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Musspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 15%
Musspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Musspor
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 25
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.57 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Musspor
1:4
Nov 30, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Musspor vs Ergene Velimese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek I. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Musspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohawuchi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yilmaz H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 10 / 100
Musspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Musspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Musspor let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Ergene Velimese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ergene Velimese scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Musspor
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergene Velimese

(Home)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 6

Musspor

(Away)
03 Oct
Inegol Kafkas
0 : 1
Musspor
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
13 Sept
Musspor
4 : 0
Menemenspor
06 Sept
Erbaaspor
4 : 4
Musspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 30 21 7 2 64:17 70
2 Karsiyaka 30 18 6 6 56:28 60
3 Musspor 30 16 10 4 48:24 58
4 Kutahyaspor 30 17 7 6 57:37 58
5 Duzcespor 30 16 8 6 40:27 56
6 Silifke 30 14 7 9 51:36 49
7 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
8 Hopaspor 30 10 9 11 26:30 39
9 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 30 7 10 13 27:32 31
10 Kahramanmarasspor 30 8 6 16 28:39 30
11 Bulvarspor 30 7 9 14 35:58 30
12 Kirsehir SK 30 7 8 15 26:48 29
13 Bornova 1877 30 6 10 14 36:53 28
14 23 Elazig FK 30 5 11 14 18:31 26
15 Kusadasispor 30 7 3 20 25:51 24
16 Ergene Velimese 30 6 5 19 17:50 23
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)