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Ergene Velimese vs Ofspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sahin O.
30' Event
Genc M.
38' Event
Caliskan K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2022/2023 game between Ergene Velimese and Ofspor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ergene Velimese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ergene Velimese
15%
Draws
26%
Ofspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Ergene Velimese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 16%
Ofspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Ofspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Ergene Velimese vs Ofspor
2:1
Oct 30, 2022 3. Lig Group 2
Ofspor vs Ergene Velimese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Genc M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caliskan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ofspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahin O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 31 / 100
Ofspor 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Ofspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ofspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ofspor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ergene Velimese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Ofspor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ergene Velimese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergene Velimese

(Home)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 7

Ofspor

(Away)
20 May
Ofspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
07 May
Karaman FK
3 : 1
Ofspor
30 Apr
Ofspor
1 : 1
Bayrampasa
23 Apr
Gumushanespor
0 : 2
Ofspor
16 Apr
Ofspor
1 : 2
Kusadasispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Igdir FK 32 22 5 5 70:21 71
2 Alanya 1221 32 20 9 3 59:23 69
3 Orduspor 1967 32 19 9 4 63:29 66
4 Karaman FK 32 19 8 5 52:24 65
5 Ayvalikgucu 32 14 12 6 46:26 54
6 Kusadasispor 32 13 12 7 43:31 51
7 Eynesil 32 10 11 11 32:42 41
8 Bulvarspor 32 9 13 10 36:36 40
9 Gumushanespor 32 8 13 11 25:33 37
10 23 Elazig FK 32 10 7 15 43:58 37
11 Kirikkale FK 32 9 9 14 39:49 36
12 Turgutlu 32 8 10 14 32:45 34
13 Ergene Velimese 32 8 8 16 29:43 32
14 Darica Genclerbirligi 32 5 17 10 29:43 32
15 Bayrampasa 32 6 11 15 22:44 29
16 Ofspor 32 5 9 18 24:45 24
17 Kahramanmarasspor 32 1 9 22 11:63 12
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)