Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018

Yesil Bursa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ergene Velimese play Yesil Bursa in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. Ergene Velimese are favorites here. Recently, Ergene Velimese averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Ergene Velimese won 1, Yesil Bursa won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Ergene Velimese and 1.44 for Yesil Bursa. This points to a Ergene Velimese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Ergene Velimese

18%

Draws

26%

Yesil Bursa

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Ergene Velimese picked up more points recently compared to Yesil Bursa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 16%

Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ergene Velimese	Yesil Bursa
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	4
Draws	6	5
Losses	18	21
Goals Scored	0.63	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 3. Lig Group 2

Ergene Velimese vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 21, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Yesil Bursa vs Ergene Velimese

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek I. F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Yesil Bursa Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 54 / 100

Yesil Bursa 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ergene Velimese Yesil Bursa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ergene Velimese Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ergene Velimese & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ergene Velimese attacking → ← attacking Yesil Bursa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ergene Velimese scored in 44% of their last 32 games.

Yesil Bursa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ergene Velimese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Bursa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 17

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Darica Genclerbirligi	34	21	9	4	64:18	72
2	Ankara Demirspor	34	22	5	7	60:31	71
3	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	19	7	8	63:40	64
4	Bucaspor 1928	34	16	13	5	52:28	61
5	24Erzincanspor	34	17	10	7	53:30	61
6	Pazarspor	34	16	10	8	47:36	58
7	52 Orduspor	34	15	10	9	52:33	55
8	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	14	7	13	47:48	49
9	Vanspor FK	34	14	7	13	56:47	49
10	Turgutlu	34	14	5	15	46:47	47
11	Golcukspor	34	13	8	13	56:49	47
12	Erokspor	34	13	7	14	42:37	46
13	Muglaspor	34	11	8	15	36:36	41
14	1461 Trabzon	34	11	5	18	51:54	38
15	Ergene Velimese	34	8	13	13	38:43	37
16	Kirikhanspor	34	7	6	21	28:55	27
17	Yesil Bursa	34	5	7	22	24:55	22
18	Kayseri Erciyesspor	34	0	3	31	17:145	-6