Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ergene Velimese vs Yesil Bursa

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dilek I. F.
69'
Varol G.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018 game between Ergene Velimese and Yesil Bursa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ergene Velimese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ergene Velimese
15%
Draws
21%
Yesil Bursa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Yesil Bursa haven't matched Ergene Velimese's recent run of results.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 16%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergene Velimese Yesil Bursa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.63 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Ergene Velimese vs Yesil Bursa
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Ergene Velimese
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek I. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Yesil Bursa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergene Velimese 30 / 100
Yesil Bursa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergene Velimese Yesil Bursa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ergene Velimese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Bursa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Ergene Velimese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Yesil Bursa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ergene Velimese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergene Velimese

(Home)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 7

Yesil Bursa

(Away)
05 May
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1 : 3
Yesil Bursa
29 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
22 Apr
Golcukspor
2 : 1
Yesil Bursa
14 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 1
Erokspor
07 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Yesil Bursa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Darica Genclerbirligi 34 21 9 4 64:18 72
2 Ankara Demirspor 34 22 5 7 60:31 71
3 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 19 7 8 63:40 64
4 Bucaspor 1928 34 16 13 5 52:28 61
5 24Erzincanspor 34 17 10 7 53:30 61
6 Pazarspor 34 16 10 8 47:36 58
7 52 Orduspor 34 15 10 9 52:33 55
8 Buyukcekmece Gucu 34 14 7 13 47:48 49
9 Vanspor FK 34 14 7 13 56:47 49
10 Turgutlu 34 14 5 15 46:47 47
11 Golcukspor 34 13 8 13 56:49 47
12 Erokspor 34 13 7 14 42:37 46
13 Muglaspor 34 11 8 15 36:36 41
14 1461 Trabzon 34 11 5 18 51:54 38
15 Ergene Velimese 34 8 13 13 38:43 37
16 Kirikhanspor 34 7 6 21 28:55 27
17 Yesil Bursa 34 5 7 22 24:55 22
18 Kayseri Erciyesspor 34 0 3 31 17:145 -6
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)