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Ergotelis vs Rethymniakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ergotelis host Rethymniakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 10. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Ergotelis at 0.69 goals for, 0.97 against; Rethymniakos at 1.03 for, 2.21 against. Past meetings favor Ergotelis slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.71 - 0.75) back Ergotelis to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ergotelis
35%
Draws
56%
Rethymniakos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rethymniakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ergotelis come out ahead of Rethymniakos on wins alone.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ergotelis Clean Sheet 20%
Rethymniakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ergotelis Rethymniakos
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2020 Club Friendly
Ergotelis vs Rethymniakos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ergotelis 36 / 100
Rethymniakos 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ergotelis Rethymniakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rethymniakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rethymniakos conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ergotelis scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Ergotelis stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ergotelis VS Rethymniakos
0.67 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ergotelis

(Home)
07 Oct
Ergotelis
1 : 2
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
27 Sept
Atsalenios FC
1 : 1
Ergotelis
28 Sept
Apollon Larissa
:
Ergotelis
01 May
Levadiakos
1 : 0
Ergotelis
27 Apr
Ergotelis
0 : 1
Irodotos
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Rethymniakos

(Away)
07 Oct
Rethymniakos
4 : 1
Chersonissos
27 Sept
Giouchtas
0 : 0
Rethymniakos
27 Apr
AO Tympakiou
1 : 1
Rethymniakos
16 Apr
Rethymniakos
1 : 3
Karavas
12 Apr
Mandraikos
0 : 0
Rethymniakos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Rethymniakos 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Agios Nikolaos 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Atsalenios FC 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Episkopi 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Panakrotiriakos 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Giouchtas 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
8 Ergotelis 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
9 Platanias FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 AO Tympakiou 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 AE Neapolis 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
12 Chersonissos 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 10 (Losers stage)