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Erith Town vs Lewes

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
16' Event
42' Event
Vint R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Erith Town and Lewes finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Erith Town
20%
Draws
70%
Lewes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lewes come out ahead of Erith Town on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Lewes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Erith Town Clean Sheet 20%
Lewes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erith Town Lewes
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Erith Town vs Lewes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erith Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Vint R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erith Town 20 / 100
Lewes 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erith Town Lewes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Erith Town found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (12 games).

Lewes let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Erith Town stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erith Town VS Lewes
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erith Town

(Home)
06 Sept
Erith Town
1 : 2
Deal Town
30 Aug
Erith Town
0 : 3
Farnham
13 Jul
Erith Town
2 : 2
Lewes
02 Sept
Three Bridges
2 : 1
Erith Town
22 Sept
Haringey Borough
2 : 0
Erith Town
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Lewes

(Away)
22 Aug
Lewes
3 : 1
Whyteleafe
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 0
Lewes
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
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