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Erkenschwick vs TUS Bovinghausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 6, 2025
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Erkenschwick host TUS Bovinghausen in the Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025. This has Erkenschwick written all over it on paper. TUS Bovinghausen have shipped 4 goals a game lately, while Erkenschwick have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Erkenschwick have won 2 to TUS Bovinghausen's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.63) back Erkenschwick to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Erkenschwick
15%
Draws
0%
TUS Bovinghausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erkenschwick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • TUS Bovinghausen haven't matched Erkenschwick's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Erkenschwick's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Erkenschwick Clean Sheet 14%
TUS Bovinghausen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erkenschwick TUS Bovinghausen
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 10 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.31 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.41 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs TUS Bovinghausen
0:0
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Erkenschwick
3:1
Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Erkenschwick vs TUS Bovinghausen
1:0
Sep 22, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Erkenschwick
0:3
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
TUS Bovinghausen vs Erkenschwick
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erkenschwick 57 / 100
TUS Bovinghausen 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erkenschwick TUS Bovinghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erkenschwick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TUS Bovinghausen conceded in 100% of 20 recent games.

TUS Bovinghausen's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Erkenschwick found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Erkenschwick VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erkenschwick

(Home)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
27 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld II
2 : 1
Erkenschwick
20 Sept
Erkenschwick
3 : 2
Clarholz
13 Sept
Preussen Munster 2
1 : 1
Erkenschwick
06 Sept
Erkenschwick
2 : 1
Westfalia Kinderhaus
Page 1 of 6

TUS Bovinghausen

(Away)
23 Mar
Verl II
2 : 0
TUS Bovinghausen
16 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
09 Mar
Concordia Wiemelhausen
5 : 3
TUS Bovinghausen
01 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 9
ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 7
Vreden
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siegen 34 23 9 2 70:25 78
2 Bochum II 34 21 8 5 79:31 71
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 34 19 5 10 81:53 62
4 Westfalia Rhynern 34 16 4 14 58:46 52
5 Eintracht Rheine 34 15 5 14 56:46 50
6 Schermbeck 2020 34 14 8 12 62:59 50
7 Lippstadt 34 15 5 14 54:51 50
8 SG Wattenscheid 34 14 7 13 50:47 49
9 Preussen Munster 2 34 14 6 14 65:66 48
10 Gievenbeck 34 11 11 12 51:49 44
11 Vreden 34 12 7 15 52:56 43
12 Verl II 34 12 7 15 47:51 43
13 Ahlen 34 11 9 14 56:69 42
14 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 34 12 5 17 45:68 41
15 Clarholz 34 10 9 15 40:47 39
16 TUS Ennepetal 34 10 7 17 52:75 37
17 Erkenschwick 34 7 9 18 41:68 30
18 Concordia Wiemelhausen 34 7 5 22 49:101 26
19 TUS Bovinghausen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)