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Erlangen vs Abtswind

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Erlangen Logo

Erlangen

4 - 3
FT
Abtswind Logo

Abtswind

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erlangen in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Erlangen
15%
Draws
36%
Abtswind
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Erlangen haven't matched Abtswind's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Erlangen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 20%
Abtswind Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlangen Abtswind
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Abtswind
4:3
Aug 15, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Abtswind vs Erlangen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlangen 36 / 100
Abtswind 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlangen Abtswind

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abtswind's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Erlangen scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Abtswind registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erlangen VS Abtswind
1.33 Goals Scored 1
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlangen

(Home)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
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Abtswind

(Away)
28 Jun
Abtswind
3 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
23 Jan
Abtswind
2 : 7
Wurzburger Kickers
24 May
Abtswind
0 : 1
Frammersbach
21 May
Frammersbach
2 : 1
Abtswind
17 May
Abtswind
1 : 4
Vfb Eichstatt
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)