Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 game between Erlenbach and TSV Aubstadt finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Aubstadt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSV Aubstadt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TSV Aubstadt come out ahead of Erlenbach on wins alone.
- Model gives TSV Aubstadt a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and TSV Aubstadt have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Erlenbach Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Erlenbach | TSV Aubstadt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 21 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.9 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Aubstadt vs Erlenbach
6:1
Aug 19, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs TSV Aubstadt
0:3
Apr 22, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Aubstadt vs Erlenbach
2:0
Sep 24, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlenbach vs TSV Aubstadt
0:2
Apr 23, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Aubstadt vs Erlenbach
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Erlenbach 10 / 100
TSV Aubstadt 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Erlenbach TSV Aubstadt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSV Aubstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Erlenbach scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: TSV Aubstadt conceded in 73% of 40 recent games.
Difficult form: TSV Aubstadt registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS TSV Aubstadt
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Erlenbach
(Home) 18 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0 Erlenbach
12 May
Erlenbach
2 : 5 Bayern Hof
05 May
Wurzburger Kickers II
6 : 1 Erlenbach
28 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 5 Gebenbach
25 Apr
Jahn Forchheim
5 : 3 Erlenbach
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12 May
Erlenbach
2 : 5 Bayern Hof
28 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 5 Gebenbach
17 Apr
Erlenbach
1 : 6 Aschaffenburg
07 Apr
Erlenbach
0 : 0 Erlangen
24 Mar
Erlenbach
1 : 1 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
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TSV Aubstadt
(Away) 18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2 Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0 TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3 Unterhaching
04 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 0 Ansbach
29 Aug
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 0 TSV Aubstadt
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15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0 TSV Aubstadt
29 Aug
Vfb Eichstatt
3 : 0 TSV Aubstadt
14 Aug
Buchbach
1 : 1 TSV Aubstadt
04 Jul
FSV Frankfurt
5 : 0 TSV Aubstadt
09 May
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 : 1 TSV Aubstadt
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aschaffenburg | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 91:29 | 82 |
| 2 | TSV Aubstadt | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 71:33 | 70 |
| 3 | Wurzburger FV | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 71:36 | 67 |
| 4 | Eltersdorf | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 65:44 | 64 |
| 5 | Gebenbach | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 76:51 | 64 |
| 6 | Jahn Forchheim | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 78:67 | 54 |
| 7 | Ansbach | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 74:61 | 53 |
| 8 | Grossbardorf | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:47 | 51 |
| 9 | Erlangen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:75 | 44 |
| 10 | Bayern Hof | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 61:59 | 43 |
| 11 | Wurzburger Kickers II | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47:49 | 42 |
| 12 | DJK Ammerthal | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 65:67 | 41 |
| 13 | DJK Don Bosco Bamberg | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 44:50 | 40 |
| 14 | Weiden | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:77 | 40 |
| 15 | 1. FC Sand | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39:57 | 30 |
| 16 | 1. FC Schweinfurt II | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 33:54 | 30 |
| 17 | Erlenbach | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 43:94 | 23 |
| 18 | Amberg | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 37:100 | 15 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)
