Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erlensee vs TUS Dietkirchen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ahouandyinou D.
48' Event
Kohler V.
64' Event
Niegisch T.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 game between Erlensee and TUS Dietkirchen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erlensee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erlensee
15%
Draws
42%
TUS Dietkirchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlensee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • TUS Dietkirchen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Erlensee taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Erlensee Clean Sheet 12%
TUS Dietkirchen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erlensee TUS Dietkirchen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.3 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs TUS Dietkirchen
4:0
Aug 5, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Erlensee
1:4
Apr 1, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Erlensee vs TUS Dietkirchen
1:1
Sep 17, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Erlensee
3:0
Apr 23, 2022 Oberliga Hessen
TUS Dietkirchen vs Erlensee
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erlensee Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahouandyinou D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kohler V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

TUS Dietkirchen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erlensee 35 / 100
TUS Dietkirchen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erlensee TUS Dietkirchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TUS Dietkirchen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Erlensee scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

TUS Dietkirchen's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erlensee VS TUS Dietkirchen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Erlensee

(Home)
25 Jan
Erlensee
0 : 4
Aschaffenburg
16 Jul
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Erlensee
03 Jul
Erlensee
4 : 0
Hanau
27 Jun
Erlensee
1 : 5
Hanauer SC
01 Jun
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Erlensee
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TUS Dietkirchen

(Away)
07 Jul
TUS Dietkirchen
0 : 3
FSV Frankfurt
01 Jun
TUS Dietkirchen
2 : 3
RW Walldorf
25 May
Alzenau
4 : 1
TUS Dietkirchen
18 May
TUS Dietkirchen
6 : 3
Weidenhausen
11 May
TUS Dietkirchen
1 : 2
Viktoria Griesheim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Giessen 34 22 7 5 69:28 73
2 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 23 5 6 93:42 71
3 Baunatal 34 20 7 7 70:43 67
4 Alzenau 34 19 6 9 72:40 63
5 Hanauer SC 34 19 3 12 70:55 57
6 Eddersheim 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 Hunfelder 34 16 6 12 67:62 54
8 Fernwald 34 15 5 14 64:55 50
9 Weidenhausen 34 14 8 12 62:56 50
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 7 14 62:63 46
11 Waldgirmes 34 11 7 16 48:76 40
12 Stadtallendorf 34 10 9 15 53:54 39
13 Hanau 34 9 7 18 56:78 34
14 VfB Marburg 34 9 7 18 46:71 34
15 SV Steinbach 34 7 12 15 46:69 33
16 Viktoria Griesheim 34 8 9 17 39:71 33
17 Erlensee 34 7 6 21 42:71 27
18 TUS Dietkirchen 34 6 6 22 49:85 24
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)