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Ermis Amyntaio vs Karitsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 7, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ermis Amyntaio host Karitsa in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Karitsa go into this one as the clear favorite. Karitsa have shipped 0.53 goals a game lately, while Ermis Amyntaio have conceded 3.09 and scored 0.67. Past meetings favor Karitsa slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2021, ending 6:0. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 2.25) point toward Karitsa. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ermis Amyntaio
15%
Draws
64%
Karitsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Karitsa have won more games recently than Ermis Amyntaio.
  • Win probability leans Karitsa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ermis Amyntaio Clean Sheet 10%
Karitsa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Amyntaio Karitsa
Matches Played 33 15
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 27 1
Goals Scored 0.67 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.09 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Karitsa vs Ermis Amyntaio
6:0
Mar 7, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ermis Amyntaio vs Karitsa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Amyntaio 10 / 100
Karitsa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Amyntaio Karitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karitsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ermis Amyntaio scored in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Karitsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 33% of 15 matches.

Ermis Amyntaio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Amyntaio VS Karitsa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Amyntaio

(Home)
04 May
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 3
Amvrakikos Vonitsa
30 Apr
O. Volos
4 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
27 Apr
Ermis Amyntaio
0 : 3
Philippos Alexandreia
06 Apr
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
30 Mar
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 0
Svoronos FC
Page 1 of 7

Karitsa

(Away)
26 Sept
Karitsa
2 : 1
Sarakinos Volos
06 Jun
Aetos Makrychoriou
1 : 2
Karitsa
30 May
Karitsa
1 : 3
Karditsa
26 May
Elassona
0 : 2
Karitsa
23 May
Karitsa
1 : 0
Fikis
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)