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Ermis Exochis vs Veria

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026
Ermis Exochis Logo

Ermis Exochis

2 - 2
FT
Veria Logo

Veria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ermis Exochis
30%
Draws
33%
Veria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ermis Exochis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Veria have won more games recently than Ermis Exochis.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ermis Exochis Clean Sheet 20%
Veria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Exochis Veria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Veria
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Exochis vs Veria
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Veria vs Ermis Exochis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Exochis 32 / 100
Veria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Exochis Veria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Exochis's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ermis Exochis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Veria conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Exochis VS Veria
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Exochis

(Home)
04 Oct
Ermis Exochis
3 : 1
Elassona
26 Sept
Anthoupoli
1 : 1
Ermis Exochis
08 Apr
Ermis Exochis
1 : 0
Philippos Alexandreia
05 Apr
Apollon Kalamaria
2 : 0
Ermis Exochis
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
Page 1 of 6

Veria

(Away)
04 Oct
Veria
4 : 0
Vatolakkos
08 Apr
Pierikos
0 : 3
Veria
05 Apr
Veria
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
01 Apr
Ermis Exochis
2 : 2
Veria
28 Mar
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Veria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 27 21 4 2 54:7 67
2 Ethnikos Neou 27 19 6 2 63:27 63
3 Veria 27 14 5 8 38:23 47
4 Ermis Exochis 27 12 6 9 42:39 42
5 Philippos Alexandreia 27 9 5 13 29:40 32
6 Pierikos 27 9 3 15 23:34 30
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