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Ermis Meligous vs Pangytheatikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Ermis Meligous and Pangytheatikos finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ermis Meligous.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ermis Meligous
15%
Draws
0%
Pangytheatikos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis Meligous

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ermis Meligous come out ahead of Pangytheatikos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ermis Meligous a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 20%
Pangytheatikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Meligous Pangytheatikos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 26
Goals Scored 0.9 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.93 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Pangytheatikos
7:0
Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Pangytheatikos
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pangytheatikos vs Ermis Meligous
0:0
Feb 7, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
Ermis Meligous vs Pangytheatikos
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7
Pangytheatikos vs Ermis Meligous
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Meligous 85 / 100
Pangytheatikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Meligous Pangytheatikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Meligous Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pangytheatikos let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Pangytheatikos registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ermis Meligous's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Meligous VS Pangytheatikos
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 6.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Meligous

(Home)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
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Pangytheatikos

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Pangytheatikos
0 : 4
Thyella Patras
01 Apr
Loutraki FC
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
28 Mar
Pangytheatikos
0 : 6
Panthouriakos
22 Mar
Panachaiki
10 : 0
Pangytheatikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)