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Ermis Zonianon vs Ellopiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ermis Zonianon
20%
Draws
57%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ellopiakos have won more games recently than Ermis Zonianon.
  • Ellopiakos are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ermis Zonianon Clean Sheet 16%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ermis Zonianon Ellopiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Ermis Zonianon
2:0
Dec 20, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Zonianon vs Ellopiakos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ermis Zonianon 28 / 100
Ellopiakos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ermis Zonianon Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellopiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Zonianon found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Ellopiakos has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ermis Zonianon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ermis Zonianon VS Ellopiakos
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ermis Zonianon

(Home)
28 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
1 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
0 : 1
Ipato
14 Apr
Ermis Zonianon
3 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
07 Apr
Chaidari
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
Page 1 of 6

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)