Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erokspor vs Manisa FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Esenler Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Diony L.
Assist: Benrahou Y.
9'
Sub
Gureler Y. In: Kiprit M.
Out: Gureler Y.
13'
Faye M.

AI Match Summary

Erokspor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erokspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Erokspor
17%
Draws
70%
Manisa FK
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Manisa FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erokspor lately — more wins on the board than Manisa FK.
  • Manisa FK are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Erokspor have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 19%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erokspor Manisa FK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Manisa FK
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erokspor
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 1. Lig
Erokspor vs Manisa FK
1:1
Oct 28, 2024 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Erokspor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erokspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayode O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Faye M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Diony L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erokspor 16 / 100
Manisa FK 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erokspor Manisa FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erokspor's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Erokspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Manisa FK let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erokspor VS Manisa FK
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erokspor

(Home)
24 May
Erokspor
0 : 2
Corum FK
02 May
Erokspor
1 : 1
Pendikspor
26 Apr
Sariyer
1 : 0
Erokspor
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2
Erokspor
Page 1 of 6

Manisa FK

(Away)
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0
Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1
Manisa FK
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Vanspor FK
0 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Apr
Manisa FK
2 : 0
Pendikspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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