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Erpe-Mere vs Merelbeke

Belgium Belgium

Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2022/2023 game between Erpe-Mere and Merelbeke finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merelbeke.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Erpe-Mere
15%
Draws
42%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erpe-Mere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Erpe-Mere haven't matched Merelbeke's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Erpe-Mere Clean Sheet 20%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erpe-Mere Merelbeke
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.83 1.44
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Erpe-Mere vs Merelbeke
0:3
Dec 18, 2022 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Merelbeke vs Erpe-Mere
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erpe-Mere 32 / 100
Merelbeke 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erpe-Mere Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merelbeke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merelbeke let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Erpe-Mere found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Merelbeke lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merelbeke
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Erpe-Mere

(Home)
11 Aug
Aywaille
3 : 0
Erpe-Mere
20 Aug
Ninove
3 : 1
Erpe-Mere
13 Aug
Erpe-Mere
3 : 2
Raeren-Eynatten
06 Aug
Walhain
1 : 2
Erpe-Mere
14 May
Olsa Brakel
3 : 0
Erpe-Mere
Page 1 of 6

Merelbeke

(Away)
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Lierse SK
27 Jun
Merelbeke
1 : 6
Gent
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lokeren 34 22 7 5 66:35 73
2 Petegem 34 17 8 9 68:55 59
3 Oostkamp 34 16 10 8 77:51 58
4 Cercle Brugge 2 34 16 7 11 54:43 55
5 KRC Gent 34 15 8 11 63:51 53
6 Merelbeke 34 14 11 9 47:36 53
7 Aalst 34 15 6 13 55:44 51
8 Waregem 2 34 14 8 12 64:49 50
9 Dikkelvenne 34 14 8 12 53:55 50
10 Oudenaarde 34 13 10 11 60:64 49
11 Zelzate 34 13 6 15 53:55 45
12 Torhout 34 12 8 14 57:46 44
13 Olsa Brakel 34 12 8 14 49:54 44
14 KRC Harelbeke 34 11 8 15 46:60 41
15 Gullegem 34 10 11 13 57:53 41
16 RFC Wetteren 34 9 8 17 41:67 35
17 Westhoek 34 8 11 15 44:66 35
18 Erpe-Mere 34 2 3 29 23:93 9
Promotion - National Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group ACFF 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Second Amateur Division Group ACFF 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Second Amateur Division Group VFV A 2022/2023 (Relegation)