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Erpeldange vs Differdange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2017/2018
Erpeldange Logo

Erpeldange

0 - 2
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Differdange advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Erpeldange
15%
Draws
71%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Erpeldange haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Differdange's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Erpeldange Clean Sheet 10%
Differdange Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erpeldange Differdange
Matches Played 20 39
Wins 8 26
Draws 0 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.95 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.85 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
Erpeldange vs Differdange
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erpeldange 10 / 100
Differdange 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erpeldange Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erpeldange scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Differdange conceded in 51% of 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Erpeldange stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Erpeldange VS Differdange
3 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Erpeldange

(Home)
20 Sept
Erpeldange
3 : 4
Lorentzweiler
29 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 8
Mondorf
01 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 0
Blo Weiss Medernach
18 Oct
Erpeldange
1 : 3
Schifflange
28 Oct
Erpeldange
2 : 6
Luxembourg City
Page 1 of 4

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wiltz 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
US Moutfort/Medingen 0
Ettelbruck 10
Victoria Rosport 1
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
US Reisdorf 0
Rumelange 8
Kaerjeng 4
Echternach 1
Lorentzweiler 0
US Sandweiler 4
FC Mamer 2
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Esch 4
Cebra 0
US Berdorf Consdorf 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 5
FC Kopstal 33 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 2
Luxembourg City 2
Steinfort 0
FC Ehlerange 1
Koeppchen 2
Jeunesse Useldange 5
Pratzerthal/Redange 3
Mertzig 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 8
CS Sanem 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
UNA Strassen 6
Oberkorn 1
Racing Troisvierges 1
Jeunesse Esch 16
Progres Niedercorn 3
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Dudelange 13
Fola 5
AS Wincrange 1
Vinesca Ehnen 0
Union Titus Petange 7
Grevenmacher 4
Bettembourg 2
Alliance Aischdall 0
Jeunesse Junglinster 5
Hesperange 6
Diekirch 1
Union Remich/Bous 1
Mondorf 2
Erpeldange 5
US Feulen 1
FC Orania Vianden 2
Union Tetange 4
FF Norden 2
AS Colmar-Berg 1
Lintgen 0
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Wiltz 3
Ettelbruck 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Rumelange 3
Kaerjeng 1
US Sandweiler 0
FC Mamer 1
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Luxembourg City 2
Koeppchen 0
Jeunesse Useldange 0
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
UNA Strassen 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Dudelange 3
Fola 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Grevenmacher 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 1
Hesperange 0
Mondorf 1
Erpeldange 2
Union Tetange 1
FF Norden 0
Differdange 9
1/8-finals
Wiltz 2
Rumelange 0
Kaerjeng 1
FC Rodange 91 5
Esch 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Luxembourg City 0
Hostert 5
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Esch 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 1
Mondorf 0
Erpeldange 0
Differdange 2
Quarter-finals
Wiltz 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Esch 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 2
Union Titus Petange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 1
Semi-finals
Wiltz 1
Hostert 2
Racing Luxembourg 1
Differdange 0
Final
Hostert 0
Racing Luxembourg 1