Sport Picks
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Avangard Petropavlovsk
Kazakhstan
First Division 2006 
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar 2 play Avangard Petropavlovsk in the First Division 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ertis Pavlodar 2 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Avangard Petropavlovsk averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Ertis Pavlodar 2 won 0, Avangard Petropavlovsk won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 19, 2007 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Ertis Pavlodar 2 and 1.43 for Avangard Petropavlovsk. This points to a Avangard Petropavlovsk double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar 2 picked up more points recently compared to Avangard Petropavlovsk.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.43 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | Avangard Petropavlovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Avangard Petropavlovsk let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ertis Pavlodar 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Avangard Petropavlovsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 119:14 | 76 |
| 2 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:20 | 60 |
| 3 | Gornyak Khromtay | 26 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 40:25 | 52 |
| 4 | Cesna Almaty | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 64:30 | 52 |
| 5 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 50 |
| 6 | Akzhayik Uralsk | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 56:31 | 49 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 8 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 43:50 | 33 |
| 9 | Munaily Atyrau | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:48 | 25 |
| 10 | Ordabasy 2 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 34:65 | 24 |
| 11 | Koksu | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 32:59 | 20 |
| 12 | AI-Universitet | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 29:57 | 19 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 23:71 | 15 |
| 14 | Zhastar Uralsk | 26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12:89 | 12 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avangard Petropavlovsk | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 37:17 | 50 |
| 3 | Shakhter Karagandy 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:12 | 44 |
| 4 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 43 |
| 5 | Kazakhmys | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:35 | 41 |
| 6 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41:25 | 38 |
| 7 | Aksu | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Rakhat Astana | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 33 |
| 10 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:37 | 32 |
| 11 | Tobol 2 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20:41 | 16 |
| 12 | Energetik Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 17:47 | 14 |
| 13 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 13:64 | 6 |