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Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Kyzylzhar Academy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2005 game between Ertis Pavlodar 2 and Kyzylzhar Academy finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ertis Pavlodar 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ertis Pavlodar 2
6%
Draws
4%
Kyzylzhar Academy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ertis Pavlodar 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ertis Pavlodar 2 come out ahead of Kyzylzhar Academy on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ertis Pavlodar 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kyzylzhar Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar 2 Kyzylzhar Academy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2005 First League
Kyzylzhar Academy vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
0:6
Jul 10, 2005 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Kyzylzhar Academy
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar 2 85 / 100
Kyzylzhar Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Kyzylzhar Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar 2's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kyzylzhar Academy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ertis Pavlodar 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kyzylzhar Academy
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaisar Kyzylorda22174151:1055
2Cesna Almaty22172357:1653
3Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty22146270:2348
4Gornyak Khromtay22133630:2642
5Kaspij Aktau22106631:1736
6Ordabasy 22294940:4831
7Zhambyl Taraz22731224:3124
8Munaily Atyrau22731220:3824
9AI-Universitet22561119:4121
10Zhastar Uralsk22531421:4618
11Aktobe 222331626:6512
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan 222231714:429
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar242130109:766
2Spartak Semey24185176:1759
3Ertis Pavlodar 224153660:2848
4Shakhter Yunost24132935:3041
5Ayat Rudnyi241101328:4033
6Asbest Zitikara241031130:3433
7Eurasia Astana24941125:3431
8Vostok Oskemen 224851139:4329
9Aksu24731422:4324
10Batyr Ekibastuz24641425:5222
11Spartak Semey 224631523:5921
12Kyzylzhar Academy24541520:7319
13Bolat24471312:4419