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Ertis Pavlodar W vs FC Astana W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Baburchina-Luklyanets S.
Own Goal
31' Event
Beibut A.
45' Event
Tleubekova M.

AI Match Summary

The League Women game between Ertis Pavlodar W and FC Astana W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Astana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ertis Pavlodar W
40%
Draws
29%
FC Astana W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Astana W come out ahead of Ertis Pavlodar W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 14%
FC Astana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ertis Pavlodar W FC Astana W
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Women
FC Astana W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:2
Jun 16, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs FC Astana W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tleubekova M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Astana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beibut A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ertis Pavlodar W 31 / 100
FC Astana W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ertis Pavlodar W FC Astana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

FC Astana W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Ertis Pavlodar W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ertis Pavlodar W VS FC Astana W
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W101000104:130
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Kyzylzhar W952229:1017
4Yelimay Semey W1051426:2016
5FC Astana W950417:2215
6Tobol W940511:2712
7Ertis Pavlodar W932412:1311
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W91088:513
10Altai W90185:431