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Erzeni Shijak vs Kukesi Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 Demrozi Stadium, Rrogozhinë
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Danaj R.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Grezda O.
81' Event
Dragoshi R.

AI Match Summary

Kukesi in this Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kukesi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erzeni Shijak
15%
Draws
85%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kukesi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kukesi lately — more wins on the board than Erzeni Shijak.
  • Kukesi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 19%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Kukesi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.6 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Kukesi
0:3
Nov 9, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Kukesi
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Erzeni Shijak
1:0
May 4, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Erzeni Shijak vs Kukesi
3:3
Feb 25, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Kukesi vs Erzeni Shijak
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Grezda O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dragoshi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 10 / 100
Kukesi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kukesi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kukesi conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Kukesi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Erzeni Shijak's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS Kukesi
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 6

Kukesi

(Away)
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vora 33 24 4 5 55:24 76
2 Flamurtari 33 23 6 4 62:21 75
3 Besa Kavaje 33 22 8 3 54:18 74
4 Burreli 33 16 10 7 36:22 58
5 Pogradeci 33 14 7 12 33:35 49
6 Apolonia Fier 33 11 12 10 45:32 45
7 Lushnja 33 13 5 15 39:41 44
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 5 16 35:48 41
9 Kastrioti 33 11 5 17 35:49 38
10 Kukesi 33 8 4 21 29:56 28
11 KF Valbona 33 3 7 23 29:59 16
12 Erzeni Shijak 33 2 5 26 16:63 11
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025 (Relegation)