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Erzeni Shijak vs Shkumbini Peqin

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Icaro
39' Event
Prengaj F.
78' Event
Enck

AI Match Summary

Erzeni Shijak in this First Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erzeni Shijak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Erzeni Shijak
6%
Draws
4%
Shkumbini Peqin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Erzeni Shijak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Erzeni Shijak have won more games recently than Shkumbini Peqin.
  • Model gives Erzeni Shijak a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 12%
Shkumbini Peqin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Shkumbini Peqin
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 22 26
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Shkumbini Peqin
3:1
Sep 25, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Erzeni Shijak
3:2
Dec 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Shkumbini Peqin vs Erzeni Shijak
1:0
May 9, 2003 Abissnet Superiore
Erzeni Shijak vs Shkumbini Peqin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Top Goalscorer Prengaj F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Enck
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shkumbini Peqin Compare

Top Goalscorer Icaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 83 / 100
Shkumbini Peqin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Shkumbini Peqin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shkumbini Peqin conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Shkumbini Peqin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Erzeni Shijak scored in 54% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS Shkumbini Peqin
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618