Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Erzeni Shijak vs Turbina Cerrik

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Thioub T.
51' Event
Enck
67' Event
Isteri E.

AI Match Summary

Erzeni Shijak in this Albanian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Erzeni Shijak
15%
Draws
85%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turbina Cerrik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turbina Cerrik lately — more wins on the board than Erzeni Shijak.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Turbina Cerrik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Erzeni Shijak, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Erzeni Shijak have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Erzeni Shijak Clean Sheet 12%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzeni Shijak Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.85 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Erzeni Shijak vs Turbina Cerrik
4:0
Sep 26, 2022 Albanian Cup
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
1:2
Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
0:2
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Erzeni Shijak vs Turbina Cerrik
3:1
Mar 1, 2008 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Erzeni Shijak
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzeni Shijak Compare

Top Goalscorer Enck
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thioub T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzeni Shijak 29 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzeni Shijak Turbina Cerrik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erzeni Shijak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Turbina Cerrik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Turbina Cerrik has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Erzeni Shijak found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Erzeni Shijak VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzeni Shijak

(Home)
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
2 : 3
Kastrioti
13 Apr
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
05 Apr
Erzeni Shijak
1 : 5
Apolonia Fier
30 Mar
Besa Kavaje
2 : 0
Erzeni Shijak
Page 1 of 7

Turbina Cerrik

(Away)
16 Oct
AF Elbasani
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
06 Dec
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Turbina Cerrik
18 Oct
Turbina Cerrik
4 : 0
Koplik
18 May
Turbina Cerrik
1 : 2
Tomori Berat
07 May
Burreli
4 : 1
Turbina Cerrik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Burreli -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
KS Devolli 5
Sopoti Librazhd 1
TBD -
Laci -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Terbuni Puka -
Koplik 3
Murlani 0
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak -
Luzi -
TBD -
TBD -
Teuta -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
Laberia FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
1/16-finals
Pogradeci 1
Bylis 10
Flamurtari 2
Vllaznia 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KF Oriku 0
Partizani 2
Maliqi 1
Skenderbeu Korca 8
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia 6
Burreli 2
Tomori Berat 5
KS Devolli 0
Laci 7
Butrinti Sarande 0
Dinamo City 4
Vora 0
Kastrioti 1
Lushnja 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Koplik 2
KF Tirana 5
Turbina Cerrik 1
Erzeni Shijak 6
Luzi 0
Teuta 2
Beselidhja Lezha 1
Apolonia Fier 2
Laberia FC 0
Kukesi 5
1/8-finals
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Partizani 6
Skenderbeu Korca 1
KF Egnatia 2
Tomori Berat 2
Laci 5
Dinamo City 1
Kastrioti 3
Lushnja 0
KF Tirana 4
Erzeni Shijak 1
Teuta 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Kukesi 5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia 3
Partizani 2
KF Egnatia 3
Laci 0
Kastrioti 3
KF Tirana 6
Teuta 3
Kukesi 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 2
KF Tirana 3
Teuta 0
Final
KF Egnatia 1
KF Tirana 0