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Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Akkan G.
Own Goal
14'
Sub
Orbanic M. In: Anapa E.
Out: Orbanic M.
31'
Sub
Kirtay Y. In: Yumlu M.
Out: Kirtay Y.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Erzurumspor FK and Boluspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Erzurumspor FK
11%
Draws
9%
Boluspor
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Erzurumspor FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Boluspor haven't matched Erzurumspor FK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Erzurumspor FK a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%
Boluspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Erzurumspor FK Boluspor
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
Oct 4, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Boluspor
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tozlu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Boluspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Erzurumspor FK 86 / 100
Boluspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Erzurumspor FK Boluspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erzurumspor FK's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Erzurumspor FK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Boluspor conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Boluspor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Erzurumspor FK VS Boluspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Erzurumspor FK

(Home)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 7

Boluspor

(Away)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
26 Apr
Pendikspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
09 Apr
Boluspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)