Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Ben Aknoun vs El Bayadh

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sylla M.
46'
Sub
Benyahia D. In: Belmiloud K.
Out: Benyahia D.
46'
Sub
Belkhadem M. In: Barkat A.
Out: Belkhadem M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ES Ben Aknoun and El Bayadh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Ben Aknoun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
ES Ben Aknoun
35%
Draws
19%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ES Ben Aknoun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • ES Ben Aknoun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ES Ben Aknoun's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 68%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Ben Aknoun El Bayadh
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs El Bayadh
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:2
Jun 14, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs El Bayadh
1:1
May 14, 2022 Ligue 2
ES Ben Aknoun vs El Bayadh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Ben Aknoun Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

El Bayadh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Ben Aknoun 59 / 100
El Bayadh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Ben Aknoun El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Ben Aknoun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Ben Aknoun has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ES Ben Aknoun's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: El Bayadh conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ES Ben Aknoun VS El Bayadh
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Ben Aknoun

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
Page 1 of 7

El Bayadh

(Away)
26 Sept
El Bayadh
0 : 0
GC Mascara
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)