Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lakehal C.
42'
Saad A.
46'
Sub
Tabti L. In: Benhaoua O.
Out: Tabti L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ES Ben Aknoun and MC Alger finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MC Alger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
ES Ben Aknoun
35%
Draws
38%
MC Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • ES Ben Aknoun haven't matched MC Alger's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • MC Alger have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 19%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Ben Aknoun MC Alger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger
2:3
Jan 13, 2026 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:0
Dec 23, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun
1:0
Dec 30, 2024 Algeria Cup
ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger
0:3
Mar 20, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs MC Alger
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Ben Aknoun Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakehal C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djabout A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferhat Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bayazid S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Ben Aknoun 32 / 100
MC Alger 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Ben Aknoun MC Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Ben Aknoun went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

ES Ben Aknoun scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

MC Alger has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ES Ben Aknoun VS MC Alger
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Ben Aknoun

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
Page 1 of 6

MC Alger

(Away)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)