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Stadium Background

ES Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Brahimi R.
Assist: Oukali A.
8' Event
Hammia M.
Penalty Missed
25'
Talah F.

AI Match Summary

ES Ben Aknoun in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ES Ben Aknoun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ES Ben Aknoun
35%
Draws
14%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ES Ben Aknoun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ES Ben Aknoun lately — more wins on the board than Mostaganem.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ES Ben Aknoun taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and ES Ben Aknoun have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Ben Aknoun Mostaganem
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.43 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem
3:0
Dec 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs ES Ben Aknoun
0:1
Jun 2, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Ben Aknoun vs Mostaganem
1:0
Jan 11, 2023 Ligue 2
Mostaganem vs ES Ben Aknoun
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Ben Aknoun Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahimi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Souibaa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Mostaganem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Ben Aknoun 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Ben Aknoun Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Ben Aknoun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostaganem let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: ES Ben Aknoun stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: ES Ben Aknoun scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ES Ben Aknoun VS Mostaganem
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Ben Aknoun

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
10 Sept
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Biskra
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
Saoura
06 Jun
Olympique Akbou
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
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Mostaganem

(Away)
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)