Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Mohamed Haj C.
90'
90'
Nouioui M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between ES Jerba and Chebba finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chebba carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 28%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ES Jerba | Chebba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Chebba
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs ES Jerba
3:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs ES Jerba
0:1
Feb 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs ES Jerba
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Chebba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Nouioui M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohamed Haj C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ES Jerba 34 / 100
Chebba 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ES Jerba Chebba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chebba has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: ES Jerba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: ES Jerba scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chebba
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
ES Jerba
(Home) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
20 Apr
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Kasserine
15 Mar
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Redeyef
08 Mar
ES Jerba
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 4
Chebba
(Away) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
29 Mar
Kerkennah
2 : 1 Chebba
22 Feb
US Tataouine
2 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
