Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between ES Jerba and JS Kairouan finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- JS Kairouan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 68%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ES Jerba | JS Kairouan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tunisia Cup
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs ES Jerba
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs JS Kairouan
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ES Jerba 41 / 100
JS Kairouan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ES Jerba JS Kairouan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
JS Kairouan let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.
Recent resilience: ES Jerba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
ES Jerba's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS JS Kairouan
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
ES Jerba
(Home) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
20 Apr
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Kasserine
15 Mar
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Redeyef
08 Mar
ES Jerba
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 4
JS Kairouan
(Away) 14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0 JS Kairouan
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0 Monastir
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
26 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0 JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 7
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0 JS Kairouan
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
26 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0 JS Kairouan
05 Apr
CS Sfaxien
3 : 0 JS Kairouan
27 Feb
Zarzis
1 : 1 JS Kairouan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
