Sport Picks
ES Jerba vs PS Sakiet Eddaier - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue 2 2024/2025 
Match Events
17'
17'
Chalouf G.
(Penalty)
52'
52'
Nouioui M.
90'
90'
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between ES Jerba and PS Sakiet Eddaier finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Jerba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PS Sakiet Eddaier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- PS Sakiet Eddaier carry the better recent record into this one.
- ES Jerba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 10%
PS Sakiet Eddaier Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ES Jerba | PS Sakiet Eddaier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs PS Sakiet Eddaier
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue 2
PS Sakiet Eddaier vs ES Jerba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Nouioui M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
PS Sakiet Eddaier Compare
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ES Jerba 40 / 100
PS Sakiet Eddaier 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ES Jerba PS Sakiet Eddaier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
ES Jerba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
ES Jerba's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
PS Sakiet Eddaier has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS PS Sakiet Eddaier
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
ES Jerba
(Home) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
20 Apr
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Kasserine
15 Mar
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Redeyef
08 Mar
ES Jerba
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 4
PS Sakiet Eddaier
(Away) 13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Aug
PS Sakiet Eddaier
2 : 0 Jeunesse Sportive
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
07 Aug
Club Africain
3 : 2 PS Sakiet Eddaier
29 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 3 PS Sakiet Eddaier
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
