Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
Essid M. A.
AI Match Summary
ES Jerba in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ES Jerba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ES Jerba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- ES Jerba haven't matched Redeyef's recent run of results.
- Model gives ES Jerba a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 68%
Redeyef Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ES Jerba | Redeyef |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Redeyef
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs ES Jerba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Essid M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Redeyef Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ES Jerba 77 / 100
Redeyef 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ES Jerba Redeyef
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Redeyef has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.
ES Jerba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
ES Jerba scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
- VS Redeyef
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
ES Jerba
(Home) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
20 Apr
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Kasserine
15 Mar
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Redeyef
08 Mar
ES Jerba
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 4
Redeyef
(Away) 12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0 Redeyef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2 Redeyef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 7
12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0 Redeyef
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2 Redeyef
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
28 Mar
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 0 Redeyef
21 Feb
Jendouba Sport
3 : 0 Redeyef
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
