Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Chabhoune S. B.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between ES Jerba and Sidi Bouzid finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Jerba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Jerba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ES Jerba come out ahead of Sidi Bouzid on wins alone.
- ES Jerba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 68%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ES Jerba | Sidi Bouzid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs ES Jerba
2:0
Dec 25, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sidi Bouzid
1:0
May 12, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Sidi Bouzid
2:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs ES Jerba
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Chabhoune S. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Sidi Bouzid Compare
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ES Jerba 95 / 100
Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ES Jerba Sidi Bouzid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sidi Bouzid let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Sidi Bouzid's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: ES Jerba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Sidi Bouzid
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
ES Jerba
(Home) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
20 Apr
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Kasserine
15 Mar
ES Jerba
1 : 0 Redeyef
08 Mar
ES Jerba
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 4
Sidi Bouzid
(Away) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2 Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5 Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3 Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 7
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
05 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
27 Feb
Stade Gabesien
0 : 1 Sidi Bouzid
15 Feb
PS Sakiet Eddaier
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
