Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ES Setif vs Oran

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade 8 Mai 1945, Sétif
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mammar Chaouche A.
13'
Zeghba M.
13'
Zeghba M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ES Setif and Oran finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ES Setif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ES Setif
15%
Draws
45%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Oran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%
Oran Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ES Setif Oran
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Oran
3:0
Nov 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Oran
1:0
Nov 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
1:0
May 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs ES Setif
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Boukerma M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hamek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Oran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ES Setif 41 / 100
Oran 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ES Setif Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Setif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ES Setif found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

ES Setif went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ES Setif VS Oran
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ES Setif

(Home)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

Oran

(Away)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)