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Esbjerg U19 vs KaPa U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
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Match Events

15' Event
Moller W.
Assist: Ankersen E.
17'
Alentola O.
26' Event
Egelund P.
Assist: Egelund M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Esbjerg U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Esbjerg U19
25%
Draws
35%
KaPa U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Esbjerg U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esbjerg U19 come out ahead of KaPa U19 on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Esbjerg U19 taking it.
  • Esbjerg U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Esbjerg U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Esbjerg U19 Clean Sheet 68%
KaPa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg U19 KaPa U19
Matches Played 12 2
Wins 8 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Esbjerg U19 vs KaPa U19
2:1
Sep 27, 2017 UEFA Youth League
KaPa U19 vs Esbjerg U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moller W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Egelund P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

KaPa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiuru J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg U19 77 / 100
KaPa U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg U19 KaPa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esbjerg U19's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: KaPa U19 conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Esbjerg U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg U19 VS KaPa U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg U19

(Home)
08 Dec
Esbjerg U19
2 : 3
Midtjylland U19
06 Dec
Esbjerg U19
2 : 3
Elfsborg U19
17 Nov
Mjondalen U19
0 : 3
Esbjerg U19
15 Nov
Esbjerg U19
2 : 1
Sogndal U19
03 Dec
Midtjylland U19
1 : 2
Esbjerg U19
Page 1 of 3

KaPa U19

(Away)
18 Oct
Esbjerg U19
2 : 1
KaPa U19
27 Sept
KaPa U19
1 : 2
Esbjerg U19

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zimbru Chisinau U19 7
Vllaznia U19 3
UC Dublin U19 3
Molde U19 4
Din. Bucuresti U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 4
Ludogorets U19 3
Zeljeznicar U19 4
Inter U19 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Esbjerg U19 4
KaPa U19 2
Legia U19 3
Breidablik U19 1
Hammarby U19 0
Ajax U19 6
Brodarac U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Bursaspor U19 1
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 2
FK Liepaja U19 2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 4
Nitra U19 2
Shkendija Tetovo U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 2
Krasnodar U19 11
Sutjeska U19 2
Honved U19 3
Dudelange U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 7
Bordeaux U19 0
Salzburg U19 5
Final
Zimbru Chisinau U19 0
Molde U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Zeljeznicar U19 1
Inter U19 10
Esbjerg U19 1
Legia U19 3
Ajax U19 4
Brodarac U19 3
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 2
Nitra U19 3
Krasnodar U19 9
Honved U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 2
Salzburg U19 6