Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esbjerg vs Horsens

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Esbjerg Logo

Esbjerg

0 - 1
FT
Horsens Logo

Horsens

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
From L.
25' Event
Skipper A.
Own Goal
63'
Sub
Ouorou Y. In: Saine A.
Out: Ouorou Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horsens in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horsens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Esbjerg
20%
Draws
29%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Horsens have won more games recently than Esbjerg.
  • Esbjerg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Horsens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 68%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Horsens
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
0:1
Apr 21, 2026 1st Division
Horsens vs Esbjerg
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 1st Division
Horsens vs Esbjerg
1:0
May 3, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Horsens
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 95 / 100
Horsens 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esbjerg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esbjerg scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Horsens has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Esbjerg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Horsens
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esbjerg

(Home)
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
09 Aug
Hvidovre IF
2 : 1
Esbjerg
06 Aug
Bogense
0 : 6
Esbjerg
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
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Horsens

(Away)
16 Aug
Odense
1 : 2
Horsens
09 Aug
Horsens
0 : 2
Brondby
02 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 1
Horsens
26 Jul
Horsens
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Horsens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)