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Esbjerg vs Kolding IF

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Blue Water Arena
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Match Events

20'
Sub
Nedic N. In: Moller F.
Out: Nedic N.
22' Event
Brajanac M.
43'
Hollsberg H.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Esbjerg
39%
Draws
30%
Kolding IF
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Esbjerg have won more games recently than Kolding IF.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 20%
Kolding IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esbjerg Kolding IF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
3:0
Apr 3, 2026 1st Division
Kolding IF vs Esbjerg
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
4:4
Oct 4, 2025 1st Division
Kolding IF vs Esbjerg
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Kolding IF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brajanac M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kolding IF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esbjerg 32 / 100
Kolding IF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esbjerg Kolding IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Esbjerg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kolding IF let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Esbjerg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esbjerg VS Kolding IF
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyngby32186869:3660
2Horsens32159842:2754
3Esbjerg321571045:4352
4Hillerod321311842:4350
5Hvidovre IF321113843:3946
6Kolding IF321081437:4038